Overview of Recent AFD Germany Polls
The far‑right Alternative for Germany (AfD) continues to be a focal point of German politics, and the latest polls provide a clear picture of its standing ahead of the next federal election. Across a range of surveys conducted between January and July 2024, the AfD’s national support has hovered between 13 % and 17 %. These figures place the party solidly in third place, trailing the centre‑right CDU/CSU alliance and the Social Democratic Party (SPD), while still outpacing many smaller liberal and green factions.
Current Support Levels
Three major pollsters—Infratest dimap, YouGov, and Forsa—have released consistent data that can be summarised as follows:
- Infratest dimap (July 2024): AfD 15 % (±1 %).
- YouGov (June 2024): AfD 14 % (±2 %).
- Forsa (May 2024): AfD 16 % (±1 %).
All three surveys show a modest upward trend compared with the 2021 federal election, when the AfD secured 11 % of the vote. The increase is most pronounced among voters aged 30‑49 and in regions that have experienced recent economic strain.
Regional Variations
Germany’s federal structure means that support for the AfD is not uniform across the country. The party’s strongest showings are in the eastern states, where historical, economic, and demographic factors converge:
- Saxony: Polls regularly place the AfD at 24 %‑27 %.
- Thuringia: Support ranges from 22 % to 25 %.
- Brandenburg: The party garners around 20 % of the vote.
In contrast, western states such as Bavaria, Baden‑Württemberg, and North Rhine‑Westphalia typically record AfD levels below 10 %.
Factors Influencing the Numbers
Analysts point to a combination of economic and cultural issues that have boosted the AfD’s appeal. Two new themes dominate the conversation:
- Energy costs:
